The Semiconductor Shortage Has Come for the Auto Industry
The Semiconductor Shortage Has Come for the Auto Industry
The ongoing semiconductor shortage isn't merely striking large-name tech companies like AMD, Intel, and Nvidia. According to multiple automotive manufacturers, the full general manufacturing problems hitting the manufacture are now meaningfully slowing vehicle production.
"This is absolutely an industry result," Toyota spokesman Scott Vazin told the AP. "We are evaluating the supply constraint of semiconductors and developing countermeasures to minimize the bear on to production."
This is divide from the COVID-related problems that caused car manufacturers to idle facilities throughout 2020, and information technology's creating constraints on companies every bit they endeavour to bring factories back online. Toyota has slowed product on the Tundra, Ford pulled in some planned reanimation for its Louisville facility, Fiat Chrysler has temporarily airtight some factories, and Volkswagen has announced information technology'southward facing component shortages and may slow production for this reason. Nissan hasn't seen problems in the US, only its Japanese production has been slowed.
The problem appears to exist timing. As demand dropped off from the auto manufacture, foundries pivoted to assign newly freed-up capacity to other companies. At present, with car sales picking up more than rapidly than anticipated, manufacturers desire to offset building more production again — and the semiconductor industry is nonetheless running red-hot. In some cases, the automakers are slowing production of slower-selling vehicles and diverting more than chips to college-end vehicles similar pickup trucks and SUVs. This implies the epidemic may accelerate the ongoing U.s.a. shift towards SUVs and away from rider sedans.
Ane major question out of all this is how the semiconductor industry may change following 2020. Modern factories and foundries have spent decades emphasizing lean, merely-in-time manufacturing, and the result has been a supply concatenation that'southward not particularly well-suited to absorbing sudden surges in need. Function of the trouble with edifice resiliency into the semiconductor manufacturing chain is that foundries typically have high fixed costs, due to the need to keep the plant in elevation operating condition whether you're actually manufacturing anything in the facility or not. At that place accept been reports that the product delays hit nigh high-terminate consumer equipment are being caused by a shortage in ABF (Ajinmoto Build-upwardly Film), a resin used in producing microprocessors. The situation in 2020 is the macro-calibration, industry-wide version of what happened to the hard drive industry during the Thailand floods virtually a decade ago. Dorsum then, multiple companies were unable to ship HDDs because ball bearings suddenly became very difficult to source.
Part of the reason why the COVID-nineteen shortages are kicking anybody in the teeth is that the marketplace for 200mm hardware was under force per unit area, fifty-fifty before the pandemic. A significant percentage of IoT, automotive, 5G, and self-driving silicon is congenital on older 200mm wafers, older process nodes, or both. Instead of drying up as was originally expected, 200mm demand has really increased in recent years. COVID-19 put additional pressure level on those product lines at the aforementioned time it put pressure level on everyone else's product facilities every bit well.
It'south going to be well into 2021 before we see these shortages settle downwardly, and honestly, it might have until 2022. Ane of the problems with the semiconductor industry is that it cannot pivot to address short-term market shocks. Fifty-fifty if GlobalFoundries had empty 7nm lines, there's no style to chop-chop port products from TSMC or Samsung to utilise them. Even if TSMC had cleaved ground on a massive new foundry the day the pandemic was establish in China, information technology'd be another few years earlier the factory was ready to send hardware. In other contexts, we might argue that the pandemic had highlighted the problem of relying on merely 1-2 foundries, only the truth is, companies have been driven away from the IDM model because of inexorably rising manufacturing costs, while foundries take been pushed off the leading border for the exact same reason. Having reserve capacity at Foundry B does no good if it takes 6-12 months to port a design to the different product method.
The 200mm market is going to remain tight for months, if not the next several years, and while the automotive market will probably recover as the calculating market place cools off, information technology won't exist surprising if shortages final beyond March – April 2021.
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Source: https://www.extremetech.com/computing/319049-the-semiconductor-shortage-has-come-for-the-auto-industry
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